Head and shoulders template: 956 Head And Shoulders Outline Template Images, Stock Photos & Vectors

Опубликовано: May 8, 2023 в 6:01 am

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Категории: Miscellaneous

Head Shoulders designs, themes, templates and downloadable graphic elements on Dribbble

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Head and shoulders – Brochure Template

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Head and Shoulders: The Complete Guide to Trading

Technical Analysis | 03/15/2022 | 72451

Recognizing chart patterns and patterns is one of the most important trading skills in the financial markets. There are many different types of chart formations that a trader can learn and incorporate into their trading arsenal. Today we will analyze one of the most reliable chart patterns – the Head and Shoulders pattern.

In this guide, I will show you step by step how to trade the Head and Shoulders pattern correctly. I will try to explain everything as simply and accessible as possible, so even if you are a novice trader, you should easily understand everything.

Features of the pattern Head and Shoulders

Why is this pattern formed?

Features of pattern formation

How to enter on the breakdown of the neck line?

Setting a stop loss

How to take profit?

Inverse Head and Shoulders

Some Examples of Head and Shoulders

Key Rules

Trading Examples

Conclusion

Features of Head and Shoulders

The head and shoulders is a reversal pattern. The name of the formation comes from the visual characteristic of the pattern – it appears in the form of two shoulders and a head between them. The template is formed from the creation of a top on the chart. The price then creates a second top that is above the first top. After that, a third vertex is created, but it is below the second vertex and approximately at the same level as the first vertex.

The image above is a sketch of the Head and Shoulders pattern. The vertices at (1), (2) and (3) create three important points:

  1. Point (1) corresponds to the first arm.
  2. Point (2) is the “head” of the model.
  3. Point (3) corresponds to the second arm.

Note that there is an initial bullish trend in the chart above. Then the left shoulder is formed, then the head and finally the right shoulder.

Let’s look at the key features of the pattern so that you can determine the most favorable conditions for trading.

As you can see from the picture above, the Head and Shoulders pattern has five key properties. In order of appearance they are:

  1. Uptrend.
  2. Left shoulder.
  3. Head.
  4. Right shoulder.
  5. Neck line.

Note that the neckline comes last. At first this may seem strange. However, we first need to see the appearance of the shoulders and head of the pattern before we can identify the neck line.

Uptrend

The very first part of the Head and Shoulders pattern is an uptrend. In other words, a long-term price movement in a certain direction, which eventually comes to an end. As a general rule, the longer a trend continues, the more likely it is to end.

Left shoulder

The price moves down and a pullback is formed. At this point, we get the first signs of the formation of a figure. At this point, it is impossible to tell if the market will change because pullbacks happen regularly in a trending market.

Head

Now that the left shoulder has formed, the price makes a higher high that forms the head. At the moment we have the left shoulder and head. The neck is also starting to take shape, but we need to wait for the right shoulder to appear before we can draw the line of the neck.

Right shoulder

The right shoulder is where all the attributes of the pattern come together. Here we see a clear sign that the forces of buyers are running out, and the price may turn around soon. Once the right shoulder has formed, we have enough data to draw the line of the neck. However, the figure is not yet finalized, so it is best to consider it as a draft, not a working version for now.

Neck line

When we have a head and two shoulders visible on the chart, we can draw a neck line. This level will be the key for our entry into the market for a breakdown. Think of the neck line as the last line between buyers and sellers.

Why is this pattern formed?

As I mentioned, the Head and Shoulders formation is a reversal pattern. Thus, the formation represents a loss of buyers’ faith in the prevailing trend. The right shoulder on the chart, which is below the head, gives the trader some important clues. This falling top on the chart represents a slowdown in the trend, which can lead to a reversal.

Any price movement on the chart carries a certain message. Some messages are easier to read than others, but we can always get some information with a price action.

With regard to the Head and Shoulders pattern, the relevant information is that the buying power is running out and we should prepare for a potential market reversal.

Price structure causes the market to change direction. There is a redistribution of buyers and sellers. The resulting pattern is the result of this process.

Let’s look at the following chart:

Notice that after the higher high (head) and subsequent pullback, the buyers failed to push the price above the head again. This eventually formed the right shoulder.

A clear sign of an impending trend change is a succession of higher highs and lower lows. However, the current trend is not technically broken until we see a lower high and a lower low.

The Head and Shoulders pattern works precisely because of the change in the price structure of the uptrend. Therefore, always watch for a series of highs and lows in price movement.

It is important to remember that the Head and Shoulders pattern is confirmed only after the neck line is broken. By breakdown, I mean closing the price below the level.

A common mistake among traders is to assume that the pattern is complete when the right shoulder is formed. In fact, it is only completed when the price closes below the neck line.

Let’s take a closer look at the moment of the breakout:

Note that the price closed below the neck to confirm the breakout. While there were a few candles before that that were close to breaking, they didn’t actually close below the level.

Features of the formation of the pattern

The first important sign of the appearance of the reversal pattern “Head and Shoulders” consists of the appearance of a bottom after the formation of the head. If you have a trend as well, the formation of a bottom will most likely slow down its intensity. In many cases, this also sets the stage for a subsequent breakout of the trendline.

This is the first sign of the Head and Shoulders pattern appearing on the chart. We have two tops that are rising and are in a bullish trend. However, the bottom created after the formation of the head breaks the trend line. This indicates that the bullish momentum is slowing down.

After the formation of the head is completed, we can expect the appearance of the third peak, which will be lower than the head. Sometimes, during the formation of the right shoulder, the price may test an already broken trend line as resistance.

The appearance of the third top on the chart means the complete formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern.

The neck is considered the most important component in pattern trading. The reason for this is that the neck line acts as a trigger to enter the market. To draw the neck line, you need to find two bases – the bottom just before the head is formed and the bottom just after the head is formed. Then you must connect these two points with one line.

It is important to note that this line can be horizontal or slanted.

How to enter on the breakdown of the neck line?

Breakout of the neckline is the signal we need to open a trade. In order to get a valid breakout of the Head and Shoulders pattern, we need to see how the price breaks the neck line.

There are two breakout entry techniques.

Method #1

You can use a stop order to place a short position just below the neckline. Note that those who use this method do not wait for the price to close below the neck line. The problem with this approach is that you expose yourself to the risk of a false breakout.

Method #2

The second method involves waiting for the neck line to be retested and only then entering the market.

On the second entry method, we expect to retest the neck line as a resistance level.

This allows us to:

  1. Get additional confirmation of the recent breakout.
  2. Get a better risk/reward ratio.

It is because of these factors that I almost always prefer the second method.

However, in this case, there is a possibility of missing the entry point if the price continues its downward movement without a rollback. Then we can enter the market on the first pullback. Just wait for it to happen.

The best retracements occur on small candles. But what if the candles are very large and the pullback is much stronger than you expect? All is not lost yet because you can use the neckline retest technique to enter the trade and set your stop loss to the ATR of the pullback candles.

Method #3

You can also speed up the entry into the trade on the head and shoulders pattern even before it is formed. This will give us an even better profit to loss ratio.

Wait for the market to form a left shoulder and head. After the market went up again and the right shoulder began to form, enter the trade at the first signs of a market reversal down. You can use pin bars or an engulfing pattern to enter. And set the stop loss at the rate of 1 ATR.

Method #4

If you want to find the highest probability head and shoulders trading setup, you must use multiple timeframes. The higher timeframe should be in a downtrend. The figure leans against the resistance line.

Stop Loss Placement

There are several ways to place a stop loss. Some traders prefer to place a stop above the right shoulder, while others choose a more aggressive placement. Therefore, you must choose the method that suits your trading style the most.

Consider three ways to place a stop loss.

Method №1

Place a stop loss above the level of the right shoulder.

In this case, we leave enough room between our entry and stop. However, this is not at all necessary. I would even say that it does more harm than good. A stop loss placed over the right shoulder is excessive.

Method #2

This is my preferred stop loss placement when the stop is placed above the last pullback level.

In this case, the size of the stop loss is significantly reduced.

You can always use a tighter stop loss as it all depends on your trading style. However, remember that the closer the stop loss is placed to the entry point, the more likely it is to exit the position prematurely.

Method #3

In this method, we close the position when the price closes above the neck line after a close below it has been recorded. This means that the model is not valid and sellers are no longer in control.

How to take profit?

Knowing when to take profits correctly is one of the most difficult aspects of trading. When it comes to the Head and Shoulders pattern, there are several ways to take profits.

Approach #1

The first and more conservative approach is to take profits at the nearest key support level, a significant area on the chart where a strong price bounce could occur. However, do not forget to pay attention to the favorable ratio of risk to reward. That is, the nearest support level should be placed at a sufficient distance.

Approach #2

The second and more aggressive approach is to use price movement distance measurements.

When you use this method, you are measuring the height of the entire figure. This way, no matter the situation, you will always have a specific profit target.

To do this, we need to measure the distance from the head to the level of the neck, and then postpone the same distance from the breakdown point.

Although measured targets can be extremely accurate, they are rarely perfect. Therefore, for greater certainty, treat them simply as areas, and always pay attention to the nearest support level.

Approach #3

You can use the trailing stop technique and move the stop along the 20-period moving average. This means that you will only stop trading if the market closes above the 20MA.

Approach #4

Also, you can carefully watch the price and exit the trade at the first attempts of an incipient consolidation or a strong pullback.

Reverse Head and Shoulders

The Head and Shoulders pattern has its equivalent, the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern. It forms during a bearish trend, meaning that the existing bearish trend is likely to reverse.

A few examples of the Head and Shoulders pattern

Here are a couple more examples of this pattern. Be sure to note that each time the price structure is formed uniquely, however, all the necessary elements are still present in it.

In the last example, the neck line rarely looks like a horizontal level, although more often it will be sloping.

Key Rules

By now we are familiar with the Head and Shoulders pattern. We know how to enter the market correctly, where to place a stop loss and how to take profits. However, there are a few key rules to follow when trading this pattern.

The pattern should form only after an uptrend

This rule speaks for itself. Look carefully at the chart. There must be an empty space on the left.

Shoulders should not be higher than your head

You can’t lift your shoulders over your head, right? The same applies to this pattern. The head should always protrude over the left and right shoulder. And although there are no exact rules for the minimum distance between them, it should be obvious at a glance.

The slope of the neck line must be horizontal or upward, but not downward.

If you find the head and shoulders where the neck line moves from the upper left corner to the lower right, such a pattern is considered unreliable. For example:

Although you may still see a reversal, the odds are not in your favor.

So you only need to see this pattern:

Note that the neck line moves from the lower left corner to the upper right. This indicates the correct structure of this figure.

In my experience, the steeper the neck angle, the more aggressive the subsequent break and reversal will be.

Shoulders should form within the same horizontal range.

The chart below illustrates this rule well:

However, the left and right shoulders can go beyond the horizontal range to some extent.

Which head and shoulders pattern is the most reliable?

How reliable is this pattern and when can I enter a trade using it? Not all setups for this formation are suitable for trading. There are two things you need to pay attention to: the structure of the market and the duration of the formation on the chart.

If the market is in a strong uptrend, it is unlikely that a small pattern can change the course of the price. Instead, the market is likely to continue to rise.

A head and shoulders pattern that takes 200 days to form will be more significant than the same pattern that takes only 20 days to form. Because if the market breaks the 200-day neck line, a large number of traders will be trapped in an open buy position and their exit from the trades will increase the pressure on the price, which will fall. Therefore, if you want to find reliable trading opportunities for this pattern, you should pay attention to the structure of the market and the duration of its formation on the chart.

Stick to daily and weekly charts.

The Head and Shoulders pattern shows the best results on daily and weekly timeframes. While you can trade this pattern on a 1 hour or 4 hour chart, you risk taking losses due to the many false patterns.

Trading examples

Let’s look at a few examples of pattern trading in technical analysis.

The chart starts with a bullish trend. As the price moves, a Head and Shoulders pattern is formed. Once we have defined this model, we will draw the line of the neck. This is the horizontal line on the chart. A short position can be opened when the candlestick closes below this line. Also, the stop loss should be placed above the second shoulder as shown in the picture. The minimum target is equal to the size of the pattern, as we discussed earlier.

As you can see, the price enters a bearish trend after the pattern is confirmed. Then the price reaches the minimum level of the pattern’s potential. At this point, you can either close out your entire position or decide to keep it open to try and get some extra momentum from the trade. In this example, we close the position when the price closes above the downtrend line.

We see a neck line that goes through two bases. A short trade can be entered when the price breaks the neckline. The stop loss can be placed above the second shoulder as shown in the picture. Then you need to measure the size of the pattern to get the minimum potential price movement.

Price action enters a strong bearish trend after a breakout. This trade can be continued until the price breaks the trendline in a bullish direction.

Note that the pattern occurs after a bearish trend when the market direction changes. This time the neckline connects the top and not the bottom because the pattern is upside down. A stop loss can be placed below the second shoulder that forms the pattern.

The price starts to rise after the breakdown. However, the increase is not very sharp and shows price fluctuations. The lines on the chart show that the price increase resembles a consolidation in the form of an ascending expanding triangle. This type of triangle has strong reversal potential. Therefore, the best option in this case would be to close the trade immediately after reaching the minimum target of the inverted Head and Shoulders pattern.

Conclusion

There are many different ways to trade reversal patterns, but few of them show the same stable profits as the Head and Shoulders pattern. However, you should not blindly trade this formation. Try to understand the price movement, and notice the shift in the balance of power from buyers to sellers. Follow the guidelines above and you’ll be well on your way to achieving consistent profits.

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Head and shoulders in trading.

How to trade the

Head and Shoulders reversal pattern is a popular pattern in technical analysis and is often used by traders in the forex, cryptocurrencies, stocks, and futures markets. The figure is remarkable in that it helps to determine market reversals with relatively high accuracy.

According to a 2000 study by noted analyst Thomas Bulkowski, only 7% of the 431 Head and Shoulder patterns on the daily charts of 500 stocks since 1991 to 1996 were not accompanied by further price cuts. And if a decrease occurred, then it averaged 23% and lasted about 3 months.

This article tells:

  • what the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern looks like on the chart;
  • which means;
  • how to trade;
  • advantages and disadvantages;
  • how to improve Head and Shoulders trading.

The article contains numerous examples on the chart.

What the figure looks like on the chart

The name of the Head and Shoulders (SHS) figure reflects the visual feature with which tops are formed on the chart.

To form a Head and Shoulders pattern, you need three vertices – 1, 2 and 3 in the figure above. Moreover, peak number 2 should be the highest. This is the “head”. Vertices number 1 and 3 are lower, these are two “shoulders”.

The line connecting the intermediate lows between peaks 1, 2 and 3 is the “neck” line (4). It is believed that the figure leads to a reversal of the uptrend, and the breakdown of the neck line is a signal to enter the short position in anticipation of a subsequent price decline.

The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a similar formation, only in a mirror image. For its formation, three minima are necessary, and the average must be lower than the neighboring ones.

Reverse Head and Shoulders is used to enter a long position after the market changes from downtrend to uptrend.

What does the Head and Shoulders pattern mean. Examples on the chart

Let’s give an example from a real Ethereum price chart, data from the Bitfinex exchange, timeframe = 4 hours.

The ZigZag Pro indicator has been added to the chart. This is a useful indicator from the ATAS platform, it automatically splits price data into a sequence of ascending and descending waves. The indicator has settings for sensitivity and display of statistics for each wave (volume, time, delta and other info).

The ZigZag Pro indicator helps to better see the formation of an important top in May 2021, when the price of Ether exceeded 4300.

The numbers show:

  1. Left shoulder.
  2. Head.
  3. Right shoulder.
  4. Breakout of the neck line (short entry point).

Note that the neck line does not look perfect, but perfect formations are not that common in the live market.

The Head and Shoulders figure means that the pressure of buyers is weakening (because the tops are falling), and sellers have a chance to start a downtrend.

An example of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is below on the British pound futures chart.

Numbers show Reversed:

  1. Left shoulder.
  2. Head.
  3. Right shoulder.
  4. Breakout of the neck line (classic long entry point).

The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern means that the selling pressure is depleted (because the price cannot make a lower low) and the buyers are able to push the market higher.

How to trade the Head and Shoulders pattern

In the example below, the Head and Shoulders pattern is formed on the oil futures chart, M3 timeframe, data from the NYMEX exchange. The second peak is the highest, the neck line is drawn at level 69.42 (the line of the “neck” does not have to be horizontal).

When the price returns to the “neck” line after the formation of top number 3, then, according to the classics of technical analysis, conditions arise for entering a short position (this place is marked with a circle).

Traders who find this setup can:

  • go short;
  • put a protective stop-loss above top number 3;
  • put a take-profit on the target level, which is laid down from the “neck” line at a distance equal to the difference between the top number 2 and the “neck” level. In this example Target = 69.42-(69.78-69.42) = 69.06.

To find targets conveniently, use such ATAS platform tools as: roulette (“hot” key F9) and Fibonacci (“hot” key F8, shown in the example above).

Advantages and disadvantages of the Head and Shoulders pattern

Advantages of the figure:

  • Easy to learn.
  • Can indicate levels for setting stop losses and take profits.
  • They work on any markets, timeframes.
  • According to various studies, they give relatively accurate reversal signals.

In addition to Bulkowski’s study, which was mentioned at the beginning of the article, the Head and Shoulders pattern was analyzed by Gene Savin in 2007. He published his findings in the Journal of Financial Econometrics, and they confirm that the pattern has predictive value, but the author could not provide a theoretical explanation for why the pattern works.

Figure flaws:

  • Subjectivity. The figure is difficult to determine due to the fact that the market consists of many local tops and bottoms, and ideal patterns rarely appear. Sometimes the Head and Shoulders become visible when the reversal has already taken place.
  • Not all reversals fit into the shape of the Head and Shoulders pattern. If the Right Shoulder slightly exceeds the top of the Head (for example, forming an Upthrust), the pattern will “mess up”, but the market will not stop showing signs of weakness. To better learn how to recognize market reversals, we recommend the article on Accumulations and Distributions.

How to improve your Head and Shoulders trading – simple recommendations

Tip #1.

Try non-standard plot types. Below is a chart of the Range XV. The numbers 1, 2, 3 show the Head and Shoulders pattern. You may find it visually more convenient to evaluate local highs and lows using ranges.

Tip #2.

Use Fibonacci. For example, the 4→5 pullback in the picture above is very close to 50% of the 3→4 move. Waiting for a pullback after the breakout of the neckline can reduce your risks (but also miss the main move).

How to improve trading on the Head and Shoulders pattern using the ZigZag indicator

The picture below shows an oil futures chart, 4-hour timeframe. Data from the NYMEX exchange (part of the CME Group). The numbers indicate the local tops and bottoms that the ZigZag Pro indicator finds. In doing so, it breaks down the price data into a sequence of rising and falling waves. The indicator also shows statistics for each wave. How can it help?

Numbers 3, 5 and 7 show the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern (inverted).

The indicator provides important information to help you make sure that the pattern “works”.

Pay attention to the statistics on ascending waves: 1→2, 3→4, 5→6. Wave 5→6 has the highest numbers in terms of delta, ticks and volume. This is the most “strong” wave, indicating the appearance of demand when the pattern ends.

Now examine the statistics for down waves: 2→3, 4→5, 6→7. Wave 6→7 has the lowest volume and duration in ticks. This means that the selling pressure is dwindling.

The depletion of sales and the emergence of demand indicate a change in the nature of the market. So when it comes to breaking the neck line around 68.40, you will have more buying arguments.

Using the tool from ATAS, you will act in harmony with the real mood of the market and, as it usually happens, stay ahead of your competitors.

To learn more about how to judge the strength of waves, we recommend reading the articles:

  • How to use the Weiss Waves indicator
  • How to analyze Weiss Waves using a ruler and the Delta indicator

How to improve trading on the Head and Shoulders pattern using cluster charts and profiles

The picture below shows a DAX stock index futures chart, daily timeframe. Data from the EUREX exchange. The numbers 1-2-3 indicate the local lows, which together form the Head and Shoulders pattern. See how the volume histogram clusters allow you to “look inside” the candles to help you understand what’s going on.

What happened at the second low (Inverted Head) is remarkable. The main trading activity took place in the range of 15000-15100. However, the candle closed above this range, suggesting a “victory” for the buyers. The next day, the futures traded above 15000-15100, which confirms the existing support.

Number 3 indicates Reversed Right Shoulder. Here is the same sign – the candle closes above the bulge on the profile, which formed on the lower shadow (test 15100). This confirms that the bulls are holding the level.

Therefore, having noticed the breakdown of the “neck” line (the effort of buyers on the breakdown of the line is marked with an arrow) on the 6th, one could more confidently enter a long position, or increase existing purchases.

To “fix the material”, consider another example from the same market.

How to start trading

We hope that the charts with examples of the Head and Shoulders pattern given in the article will be useful for you. If you are interested in exploring the pattern on the charts, and also to see the benefits of volume analysis – download the ATAS platform.

  • Registration and download for free , without entering bank card details. You will be able to continue using the program even after the end of the 14-day trial period.
  • You will be able to analyze the Head and Shoulders pattern in the stock, futures and crypto markets.
  • A demo account is built into the ATAS platform, so you can practice trading without risking your real capital.
  • The platform offers many benefits for traders who want to trade with convenient cluster charts and useful indicators.